After a Week 1, bettors saw poor choice of the week – Chicago on San Francisco – gamblers riding on hot hands and rolling with the Da Bears again in Week 2 to take down “owner” Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. This time, however, the Bears are not alone, they have company: Houston Texans.
Based on OddsChecker USin the last week, the Bears and Texas each received two-thirds (66.7%) of moneyline votes for their games against the Packers and Broncos, corresponding. I can understand where the bettors are coming from. The Broncos offense doesn’t look nearly as explosive as we thought it was in Week 1. Russell Wilson sometimes looks very underpowered compared to his old team like he used to be mostly duel via Geno Smith. That said, the Broncos are a pair of goals that fumble when it comes to winning. Meanwhile, Davis Mills proved capable in Houston’s Week 1 game against a Colts team that was supposed to crush Houston under their heels. As for the Bears, despite the inclement weather, Justin Fields looked like a strong leader, marching down the field in two touchdowns in the second half, while the Packers looked sloppy like a wet slice of bread dropped floor and left. there for two minutes.
While I often say these bets are ridiculous, I can’t help but cheer the weaker bettors based on what happened last weekend. Sure, Rodgers is consistently successful in Week 1, but who can say he wouldn’t be bad for two weeks in a row without Davante Adams? The Bears did it after all. The last time they won a game as a team under double digits was in 2013, a Week 9 against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. But Rodgers was injured at the end of the first half of that game and right replaced by Seneca Wallace. They say history repeats itself, and it’s funny, there’s a lot of history lined up for this matchup against Green Bay.
The thing that annoys me the most about these bets isn’t even anything related to the match or to the stats. Itrend of t. There’s a saying in sports that is pretty much said, “the best time for a big loss is right after an emotional win.” Both the Bears and the Texans are having extremely emotional wins (a draw is not a win, but Houston’s forced draw against a team-level opponent was a pivotal moment in and of itself), and so that’s because of the big setbacks in Week 2. The opposite of that expression is also true. The best time for a big win is right after a humiliating loss. I don’t think there are two teams more embarrassed by their Week 1 performance than the Packers and Broncos. Wilson lost to his old team to his old fans with a far superior supporting cast. AA-Ron played a sworn enemy and was made fun of by Minnesota with his tail sandwiched between his legs. Both midfielders will receive a blood change in Week 2.
Furthermore, both Wilson and Rodgers started in Week 1, but will stay at home in Week 2. In their careers, both quarterbacks have been much better at home than they were off the field. You could argue that Wilson was mostly “at home” in Week 1, but even I consider it a stretch. I would never advise anyone to bet purely in favor of a double-digit underdog team down the road, but given the potentially huge payouts both teams will offer, I wouldn’t blame anyone. Anyone trying to chase that payday. That said, both the Packers and Broncos should go away with pretty easy wins. If not, it’s time to start worrying about both teams.