Rivals . National Recruitment Analyst Ryan Wright share his thoughts on Miamiboost hiring rankings, explore the possibility of an unfortunate drop, and look at how NIL transactions could affect half of the programs in the SEC.
1. MIAMI’S LONG-TERM GROWTH
With an experienced coaching staff and large amounts of NIL supporting the program, there were concerns about Miamirecruitment efforts just a month ago. In mid-June, the Hurricanes had just six engagements, two four-stars and four three-stars, with a 46th place in the Rivals Team Recruitment Rankings. In a flash, Miami is now in the top 10 and the focus of college football recruiting.
Anxiety started to mount after lull in four-star verbal commitments in March and April with no commitment until a four-star tight finish Jackson Carver drought break on June 14. Texas tight ends Reid Mikeska and midfielder Emory Williams came back on June 19-20, and the hits kept coming. Since the four-star California QB Jaden Rashada committed on June 26, Miami landed five stars four stars marked by Washington five stars to the end of the defense of the IMG Academy Jayden Wayne.
Canes is in the mix for a four-star number in the state, which could help Miami rise from their current No.9 team ranking that, if successful, would perhaps challenge the current No. 4 spot. Clemson for the top title in the ACC among the 2023 rookies.
2. SEASON OF FLIGHT
For top programs looking to generate attention in the hiring process, options at the top of the class of 2023 are increasingly slim. Of the top 100 leads in Rivals250, only 20 of the top 50 are uncommitted. Looking deeper, only 21 potential customers in the bottom half of the top 100 are left in the market. What does that mean? This fall could be the season of subversion.
It’s hard to pinpoint which leads can be unearthed, especially among the top 100, but chances are it will turn out as it did. The vast majority of these prominent people are committed to blueblood, which at times feels like a surefire lock but in the age of NIL deals, things can change quickly.
One thing to watch out for is that programs are probably underperforming right now at capturing top leads. There are a lot of people who might like to look Texas A&M 60th in the Rivals rankings, but few believe that will last to the Early Signing Phase for less than a few months. The same can be said for Auburn in 66th place and State of Florida at 42. If some of these teams go out of business during the summer months, a bidding war could ensue where flips seem unlikely. When it happens, we’ll know why.
3. NIL IMPACTING SEC TEAMS ALSO RECRUITING TRAIL?
When, if so, please Tennessee and Arkansas 1-2 in the SEC team rankings at the end of the hiring cycle? Volunteers finished last in the top five recruiting rankings in 2015, Arkansas has never been top of the conference or in the top 10. Currently, Tennessee is in 5th place with Arkansas just behind them. . Made a recent push, LSU holds last place in the top 10. A few notable teams are currently missing.
All are looking forward to Georgia (Number 13), Texas A&M and Alabama (Number 19) to create a push to force some of the top 10 or 5 people down the leaderboard, but some shows like Ohio State, Notre Dame, Texas, Clemson and Tennessee have a solid foundation to be among the early screening teams. Florida is a show with great potential, but Miami’s promotion could cut some of the Gators’ upward momentum. This leaves seven SEC programs hanging on the back end: South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Auburn and Missouri.
Time will tell whether the strategy for some is to win the gate forward and get what you can beyond the high school ranks or that effort for a strong top 15 recruiting class. One has to wonder if the NIL transactions are keeping some SEC teams from jostling for famous five- and four-star rookies. This is not to say that the second half of the aforementioned SEC won’t produce a solid recruiting class in 2023, but it could be a sign of the times for changes to come.